Friday, December 14, 2012

NFL Week 15 Top Ten Fantasy Predictions- Over/Under

     Week 15 has some key matchups that will impact your fantasy playoffs greatly.  Here are my top 5 picks for over/under in Yahoo standard leagues. Chances are you have at least 1 of these players involved in your playoff matchup.
 



                                                               OVER

RB Alfred Morris
Alfred Morris (projected 10.85 fantasy points)  With the injury to rookie phenom RG3,  Redskins Head Coach Mike Shanahan will look to Morris to pick up the slack.  This will be true even if RG3 plays, because his mobility will be limited.  Cleveland also tends to give up a decent amount of fantasy points to running backs.

David Wilson (projected 8.73 fantasy points)  Wilson will see increased touches regardless of whether Ahmad Bradshaw plays or not.  He will probably be used at the goal line, so I expect at least 1 touchdown.  Wilson had his breakout performance last week, if he continues that level of play this week, he could challenge Bradshaw for the starting role. UPDATE: Bradshaw has been ruled out.

WR Vincent Jackson
Vincent Jackson (projected 14.68 fantasy points)  Jackson had a monster game the first time Tampa Bay and the Saints played.  This game will have a lot of offensive production from both teams.  The New Orleans secondary is weak,   Freeman will have a good game, as will his #1 wide out.

Andre Johnson (projected 14.21 fantasy points)  The Texans should be embarrassed by the way they performed on Monday night vs. New England.  I expect them to take that embarrassment out on the Colts.  Indianapolis has given up the third most fantasy points in the league to wide receivers.  Johnson should be able to take advantage of that.

Lance Moore (projected 12.76 fantasy points)  The Tampa Bay secondary is horrible, Drew Brees should have no problem finding open receivers. The Bucs have given up the most fantasy points to wide receivers in the league.  It's hard to pin down who he will favor game to game, but there should be plenty of love to spread around in this matchup.


                                                             UNDER

WR Larry Fitzgerald
Larry Fitzgerald (projected 15.08 fantasy points)  Lindley is starting, that's all I really have to say about that... No way he makes this projection.

Roddy White (projected 18.62 fantasy points)  Roddy didn't practice Thursday and will be a game time decision.  Even if he plays, he will not be 100%.  The Giants secondary has also improved a little recently.

Hakeem Nicks (projected 20.03 fantasy points) This projection seems a bit high to me.  Nicks has only cracked 20 points once this season. That was the monster game he had vs. Tampa Bay who has the worst secondary in the league.  He also has injury issues and has been limited in practice.  The Falcons secondary does not give up a lot of fantasy points to wide receivers and Eli has lots of targets to throw to.

RB Arian Foster
Arian Foster (projected 27.46 fantasy points)  I think Foster will have a good game vs. the Colts, but this projection is through the roof.  He has only beaten this projection once this year vs. Detroit.  The Colts run defense is pretty bad, but I don't think they are bad enough to make this projection happen.

Jay Cutler (projected 14.82 fantasy points)  Cutler is dealing with several injuries right now and Chicago has not been playing well lately.  Green Bay will get Clay Mathews back this week which will help their pass rush.  The Packers sacked Cutler 7 times when the met earlier in the season.  Cutler could be in for a rough day.

Good luck to everybody looking for a win in the playoffs this week!

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